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Meanwhile, the contribution of the personal consumption and housing category to the CFNAI worsened to On the contrary, Regina In y-o-y terms, NHPI climbed 4. This was the largest y-o-y increase since April The UK's Prime Minister PM Boris Johnson was prompted to order additional lockdown measures for London and the southeast of England ahead of the Christmas holidays to contain a new strain of Covid, which spreads more quickly than its predecessor.
The European countries also imposed strict travel bans to stop the new variant of coronavirus. Adding to pessimism, the EU-UK talks on post-Brexit trade relations appeared stalled as significant differences remain between the two sides just days before the transition period ends at the end of the year.
A break though would raise the prospect of a more concerted setback and a fall back to the 1. However, the CAD may be less well placed than the AUD and NZD, for example, to capitalize on this synchronized upswing theme, barring a surge in oil prices, which is not our base case. Above here would end any lingering thoughts of a potential top and clear the way for a likely panicky move to test of the more important September high at 0.
That was the highest reading since the positive one in September, pointing to a recovery in retail sales volumes that brought them broadly flat for the year to December after two months of sharp declines. Economist had forecast the reading to improve to 0. However, retail sales volumes are expected to fall steeply in the year to January Those measures had taken a huge toll on global economic activity.
But the real extent of that damage will become "visible" in the next phase, beginning with "actual bankruptcies" or at least downgrades of companies, Harmstone said. The market is likely to respond accordingly, he warned. For investors, this means that they need to keep their portfolio risk level low and maintain a defensive position while looking for opportunities to add value, Harmstone said.
These are the largest drops since the series began, as many stores ceased trading from 11 March following official government guidance during the coronavirus COVID pandemic. In the first quarter of value and volume of retail sales were down The year-on-year series shows a strong decline in March , as value decreased by Large-scale distribution fell by 9. In March , non-store sales were down Online sales was the only channel of distribution recording a growth, increasing by At Survey data showed Italy and France recorded extreme contractions in construction output, while Germany registered a far slower decline but one that was still marked overall.
April data showed a substantial fall in home building activity across the eurozone following a marked decline in March. The rate of contraction was the fastest seen in the over year survey history, led by France and Italy, which reported extreme rates of decline. Work undertaken on commercial construction projects in the eurozone likewise contracted at a severe pace in April, as indicated by the respective seasonally adjusted index registering significantly below the no-change The rate of decline was unprecedented in over 20 years of data collection.
Despite substantially reduced purchasing demand, supply chains remained under pressure. Delivery times lengthened to the greatest extent in the series history and at a rate that was severe overall. Cost burdens faced by eurozone construction firms rose further in April. However, the rate of inflation was the slowest for just over four years. Finally, eurozone building companies remained pessimistic about future activity in April, with the Future Activity Index coming in well below the neutral Concerns over the economic impact of the COVID pandemic on construction activity were commonly mentioned.
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